{
  "record": {
    "id": "btc-2026-09-22",
    "asset": "btc",
    "assetName": "比特币",
    "scope": "digital",
    "date": "2026-09-22",
    "dateLabel": "UTC交易日",
    "title": "比特币 · 2026-09-22 日度研判归档",
    "kind": "日度研判",
    "status": "data",
    "statusLabel": "数据与评分 · AI文字未生成",
    "summary": "系统研判「偏多」，趋势分 +0.54（置信度 61%），前一日为「看多」（+2.29）。BTC 收于 $86,208.56，日涨跌 -0.47%，日内振幅 1.85%；3 日 +6.10%，7 日 +13.96%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +2.18%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 34 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 -2.26%，资金费率日均 +0.0046%（前 7 日 +0.0073%），主动买卖比 0.871，全市场账户多空比 0.893 → 0.904，大户账户多空比 0.963 → 1.032。恐惧贪婪指数 78（极度贪婪）。主要偏多因子：7 日动量、3 日动量；主要偏空因子：主动买卖比、当日涨跌。",
    "label": "偏多",
    "score": 0.54,
    "version": "2026-09-25.2",
    "href": "/zh/research/archive/btc-2026-09-22/",
    "sourceHref": "/data/btc-ai/2026-09-22.json",
    "currentHref": "/zh/bitcoin/ai/",
    "capturedAt": "2026-10-05T13:28:08Z",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.270Z"
  },
  "sourceSha256": "a1f9dc4c893bff99f61ca4410dbcb1034b02d92f377b3515e601909bc0fbbc22",
  "document": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "symbol": "BTC",
    "tradingDate": "2026-09-22",
    "window": {
      "start": "2026-09-22T00:00:00Z",
      "end": "2026-09-23T00:00:00Z",
      "timezone": "UTC"
    },
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.270Z",
    "market": {
      "open": 86620.01,
      "high": 86717.6,
      "low": 85114,
      "close": 86208.56,
      "prevClose": 86620,
      "change1dPct": -0.475,
      "change3dPct": 6.103,
      "change7dPct": 13.965,
      "change30dPct": 10.902,
      "amplitudePct": 1.851,
      "volumeBtc": 21328.46,
      "quoteVolumeUsdt": 1834036115,
      "volume7dChangePct": 23.09,
      "realizedVolDailyPct": 2.218,
      "realizedVolSamples": 30,
      "logRet1d": -0.004761259102827971,
      "logRet3d": 0.059238778550736414,
      "logRet7d": 0.13072500672556558,
      "high30d": 87395.67,
      "low30d": 74967.97,
      "emaTrend": {
        "ema10": 81381.28,
        "ema20": 79500.92,
        "gapPct": 2.1812,
        "state": "golden",
        "lastCross": "golden",
        "lastCrossDate": "2026-08-19",
        "barsSinceCross": 34,
        "barsUsed": 151
      }
    },
    "phases": [
      {
        "key": "early",
        "nameZh": "早段",
        "hours": "00:00–06:00",
        "open": 86620.01,
        "high": 86625.82,
        "low": 85114,
        "close": 85397.37,
        "changePct": -1.411,
        "rangePct": 1.745,
        "volumeBtc": 5059.21,
        "volumeSharePct": 23.7
      },
      {
        "key": "morning",
        "nameZh": "早午后",
        "hours": "06:00–12:00",
        "open": 85397.38,
        "high": 86377.77,
        "low": 85157.31,
        "close": 85986.62,
        "changePct": 0.69,
        "rangePct": 1.429,
        "volumeBtc": 5085.41,
        "volumeSharePct": 23.8
      },
      {
        "key": "afternoon",
        "nameZh": "午后",
        "hours": "12:00–18:00",
        "open": 85986.62,
        "high": 86717.6,
        "low": 85461.53,
        "close": 86570.24,
        "changePct": 0.679,
        "rangePct": 1.461,
        "volumeBtc": 6953.62,
        "volumeSharePct": 32.6
      },
      {
        "key": "close",
        "nameZh": "收市",
        "hours": "18:00–24:00",
        "open": 86570.24,
        "high": 86649.06,
        "low": 86000,
        "close": 86208.56,
        "changePct": -0.418,
        "rangePct": 0.75,
        "volumeBtc": 4230.21,
        "volumeSharePct": 19.8
      }
    ],
    "derivatives": {
      "openInterest": {
        "start": 109189.231,
        "end": 106719.998,
        "startUsd": 9454075225,
        "endUsd": 9195153419,
        "change": -2469.233,
        "changePct": -2.261,
        "high": 110662.843,
        "low": 106719.998,
        "startAt": "2026-09-22T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-23T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "taker": {
        "ratio": 0.871,
        "buyVol": 78884.23,
        "sellVol": 90569.38,
        "hourlyMax": 1.4706,
        "hourlyMin": 0.5258,
        "last": 1.0976,
        "hoursBuyDominant": 7,
        "hours": 24
      },
      "funding": {
        "settlements": [
          {
            "at": "2026-09-22T08:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.0001
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-09-22T16:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00002784
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-09-23T00:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00001021
          }
        ],
        "openRate": 0.00007663,
        "avg": 0.00004602,
        "last": 0.00001021,
        "prev7dAvg": 0.00007295,
        "prev7dCount": 21,
        "annualizedPct": 5.04
      },
      "retailLongShort": {
        "start": 0.8925,
        "end": 0.9037,
        "changePct": 1.25,
        "longPctEnd": 47.47,
        "avg": 0.9077,
        "startAt": "2026-09-22T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-23T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "topPositionLongShort": {
        "start": 2.1776,
        "end": 2.104,
        "changePct": -3.38,
        "longPctEnd": 67.78,
        "avg": 2.176,
        "startAt": "2026-09-22T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-23T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "topAccountLongShort": {
        "start": 0.9627,
        "end": 1.0321,
        "changePct": 7.21,
        "longPctEnd": 50.79,
        "avg": 1.0307,
        "startAt": "2026-09-22T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-23T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      }
    },
    "sentiment": {
      "fgi": {
        "value": 78,
        "classification": "Extreme Greed",
        "classificationZh": "极度贪婪",
        "prev": 70,
        "prevClassificationZh": "贪婪",
        "change": 8,
        "at": "2026-09-22T00:00:00Z"
      }
    },
    "score": {
      "configVersion": "2026-09-25.2",
      "trendScore": 0.54,
      "label": "lean_bull",
      "labelZh": "偏多",
      "confidence": 0.61,
      "components": {
        "weightedZ": 0.3351,
        "agreement": 0.487,
        "strength": 0.36,
        "coverage": 1
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "ret1d",
          "nameZh": "当日涨跌",
          "weight": 0.25,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -0.475,
          "z": -0.215,
          "contribution": -0.086
        },
        {
          "key": "mom3d",
          "nameZh": "3 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 6.103,
          "z": 1.542,
          "contribution": 0.247
        },
        {
          "key": "mom7d",
          "nameZh": "7 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 13.965,
          "z": 2.228,
          "contribution": 0.356
        },
        {
          "key": "emaTrend",
          "nameZh": "日线 EMA 趋势",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 2.1812,
          "z": 0.983,
          "contribution": 0.157
        },
        {
          "key": "oiChange",
          "nameZh": "持仓量变化",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -2.261,
          "z": 0.754,
          "contribution": 0.121
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingChange",
          "nameZh": "资金费率变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -0.00002693,
          "z": -0.539,
          "contribution": -0.043
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingLevel",
          "nameZh": "资金费率拥挤度",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.00004602,
          "z": 0.27,
          "contribution": 0.022
        },
        {
          "key": "taker",
          "nameZh": "主动买卖比",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.871,
          "z": -2.58,
          "contribution": -0.413
        },
        {
          "key": "retailLs",
          "nameZh": "散户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 1.25,
          "z": -0.251,
          "contribution": -0.02
        },
        {
          "key": "topLs",
          "nameZh": "大户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 7.21,
          "z": 1.442,
          "contribution": 0.115
        },
        {
          "key": "fgiChange",
          "nameZh": "恐惧贪婪指数变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 8,
          "z": 1,
          "contribution": 0.08
        }
      ]
    },
    "trendComparison": {
      "today": {
        "date": "2026-09-22",
        "trendScore": 0.54,
        "label": "lean_bull",
        "labelZh": "偏多",
        "confidence": 0.61
      },
      "yesterday": {
        "date": "2026-09-21",
        "trendScore": 2.29,
        "label": "bull",
        "labelZh": "看多",
        "confidence": 0.89
      },
      "delta": -1.75
    },
    "dataSummary": "系统研判「偏多」，趋势分 +0.54（置信度 61%），前一日为「看多」（+2.29）。BTC 收于 $86,208.56，日涨跌 -0.47%，日内振幅 1.85%；3 日 +6.10%，7 日 +13.96%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +2.18%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 34 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 -2.26%，资金费率日均 +0.0046%（前 7 日 +0.0073%），主动买卖比 0.871，全市场账户多空比 0.893 → 0.904，大户账户多空比 0.963 → 1.032。恐惧贪婪指数 78（极度贪婪）。主要偏多因子：7 日动量、3 日动量；主要偏空因子：主动买卖比、当日涨跌。",
    "dataBlocks": [
      {
        "title": "关键数据",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "收盘 $86,208.56，UTC 2026-09-22 00:00 开盘 $86,620.01，日涨跌 -0.47%（前收 $86,620.00）",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "日内高 $86,717.60 / 低 $85,114.00，振幅 1.85%；30 日区间 $74,967.97 – $87,395.67",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "动量：3 日 +6.10%，7 日 +13.96%，30 日 +10.90%；30 日日波动率 2.22%",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "日线 EMA10 $81,381.28 / EMA20 $79,500.92，间距 +2.18%（占收盘价），金叉状态（EMA10 在 EMA20 上方）；最近一次交叉：2026-08-19 金叉，距今 34 天",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "现货成交 21,328 BTC（约 18.34 亿 USDT），近 7 日成交量较前 7 日 +23.09%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "永续持仓量 109,189 → 106,720 BTC（-2.26%，-2,469 BTC），名义价值约 91.95 亿美元",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "资金费率日均 +0.0046%（08:00 +0.0100% / 16:00 +0.0028% / 次日 00:00 +0.0010%），前 7 日均值 +0.0073%，年化约 +5.0%",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "主动买卖比 24h 汇总 0.871（买 78,884 / 卖 90,569 BTC），7/24 小时买方占优",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "全市场账户多空比 0.893 → 0.904（+1.25%）；大户账户多空比 0.963 → 1.032（+7.21%）；大户持仓多空比收于 2.104",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "恐惧贪婪指数 70 → 78（极度贪婪，+8）",
            "highlight": "green"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "24H 行情复盘",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "早段（UTC 00:00–06:00）：$86,620.01 → $85,397.37，-1.41%，区间 $85,114.00 – $86,625.82，成交 5,059 BTC（占全日 23.7%）",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "早午后（UTC 06:00–12:00）：$85,397.38 → $85,986.62，+0.69%，区间 $85,157.31 – $86,377.77，成交 5,085 BTC（占全日 23.8%）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "午后（UTC 12:00–18:00）：$85,986.62 → $86,570.24，+0.68%，区间 $85,461.53 – $86,717.60，成交 6,954 BTC（占全日 32.6%），全日放量时段",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "收市（UTC 18:00–24:00）：$86,570.24 → $86,208.56，-0.42%，区间 $86,000.00 – $86,649.06，成交 4,230 BTC（占全日 19.8%）",
            "highlight": "red"
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "aiStatus": "pending",
    "outlook": null,
    "analysis": null,
    "sources": {
      "spotDaily": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)",
      "spotPhases": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)",
      "openInterest": "https://www.binance.com",
      "taker": "https://www.binance.com",
      "funding": "https://www.binance.com",
      "retailLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topPositionLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topAccountLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "fgi": "https://api.alternative.me/fng/"
    },
    "dataQuality": {
      "missing": [],
      "warnings": []
    }
  },
  "aiMetadata": {
    "model": "grok-4.7",
    "generatedAt": null
  }
}