{
  "record": {
    "id": "btc-2026-09-18",
    "asset": "btc",
    "assetName": "比特币",
    "scope": "digital",
    "date": "2026-09-18",
    "dateLabel": "UTC交易日",
    "title": "比特币 · 2026-09-18 日度研判归档",
    "kind": "日度研判",
    "status": "data",
    "statusLabel": "数据与评分 · AI文字未生成",
    "summary": "系统研判「看多」，趋势分 +1.56（置信度 84%），前一日为「中性」（0.00）。BTC 收于 $80,883.87，日涨跌 +5.84%，日内振幅 6.68%；3 日 +6.93%，7 日 +4.74%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +0.64%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 30 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 -0.28%，资金费率日均 +0.0071%（前 7 日 +0.0058%），主动买卖比 1.063，全市场账户多空比 1.445 → 0.902，大户账户多空比 1.518 → 0.983。恐惧贪婪指数 56（贪婪）。主要偏多因子：当日涨跌、3 日动量；主要偏空因子：大户多空比变化。",
    "label": "看多",
    "score": 1.56,
    "version": "2026-09-25.2",
    "href": "/zh/research/archive/btc-2026-09-18/",
    "sourceHref": "/data/btc-ai/2026-09-18.json",
    "currentHref": "/zh/bitcoin/ai/",
    "capturedAt": "2026-10-05T13:28:08Z",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.260Z"
  },
  "sourceSha256": "455c45ad2954e3430c14edc6da61440c5ee45c68f884582450b759b602dc75f3",
  "document": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "symbol": "BTC",
    "tradingDate": "2026-09-18",
    "window": {
      "start": "2026-09-18T00:00:00Z",
      "end": "2026-09-19T00:00:00Z",
      "timezone": "UTC"
    },
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.260Z",
    "market": {
      "open": 76417.01,
      "high": 81400,
      "low": 76296,
      "close": 80883.87,
      "prevClose": 76417.01,
      "change1dPct": 5.845,
      "change3dPct": 6.926,
      "change7dPct": 4.737,
      "change30dPct": 16.657,
      "amplitudePct": 6.679,
      "volumeBtc": 23907.78,
      "quoteVolumeUsdt": 1897722787,
      "volume7dChangePct": 5.05,
      "realizedVolDailyPct": 2.557,
      "realizedVolSamples": 30,
      "logRet1d": 0.05680910686215356,
      "logRet3d": 0.06696995227410636,
      "logRet7d": 0.046282119046486735,
      "high30d": 82300,
      "low30d": 68902.22,
      "emaTrend": {
        "ema10": 77768.04,
        "ema20": 77252.92,
        "gapPct": 0.6369,
        "state": "golden",
        "lastCross": "golden",
        "lastCrossDate": "2026-08-19",
        "barsSinceCross": 30,
        "barsUsed": 151
      }
    },
    "phases": [
      {
        "key": "early",
        "nameZh": "早段",
        "hours": "00:00–06:00",
        "open": 76417.01,
        "high": 77715.48,
        "low": 76296,
        "close": 77493.8,
        "changePct": 1.409,
        "rangePct": 1.858,
        "volumeBtc": 4028.82,
        "volumeSharePct": 16.9
      },
      {
        "key": "morning",
        "nameZh": "早午后",
        "hours": "06:00–12:00",
        "open": 77493.8,
        "high": 78490.79,
        "low": 77402.32,
        "close": 78062,
        "changePct": 0.733,
        "rangePct": 1.405,
        "volumeBtc": 4986.76,
        "volumeSharePct": 20.9
      },
      {
        "key": "afternoon",
        "nameZh": "午后",
        "hours": "12:00–18:00",
        "open": 78062.01,
        "high": 81258.01,
        "low": 77972.3,
        "close": 81019,
        "changePct": 3.788,
        "rangePct": 4.209,
        "volumeBtc": 11085.89,
        "volumeSharePct": 46.4
      },
      {
        "key": "close",
        "nameZh": "收市",
        "hours": "18:00–24:00",
        "open": 81019,
        "high": 81400,
        "low": 80796.92,
        "close": 80883.87,
        "changePct": -0.167,
        "rangePct": 0.744,
        "volumeBtc": 3806.31,
        "volumeSharePct": 15.9
      }
    ],
    "derivatives": {
      "funding": {
        "settlements": [
          {
            "at": "2026-09-18T08:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00007903
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00006853
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-09-19T00:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00006643
          }
        ],
        "openRate": 0.00007769,
        "avg": 0.00007133,
        "last": 0.00006643,
        "prev7dAvg": 0.00005802,
        "prev7dCount": 21,
        "annualizedPct": 7.81
      },
      "openInterest": {
        "start": 108245.178,
        "end": 107938.52,
        "startUsd": 8268414305,
        "endUsd": 8728232543,
        "change": -306.658,
        "changePct": -0.283,
        "high": 110236.595,
        "low": 107481.027,
        "startAt": "2026-09-18T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-19T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "topPositionLongShort": {
        "start": 2.3595,
        "end": 1.9755,
        "changePct": -16.27,
        "longPctEnd": 66.39,
        "avg": 2.1858,
        "startAt": "2026-09-18T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-19T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "topAccountLongShort": {
        "start": 1.5183,
        "end": 0.9826,
        "changePct": -35.28,
        "longPctEnd": 49.56,
        "avg": 1.2628,
        "startAt": "2026-09-18T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-19T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "retailLongShort": {
        "start": 1.445,
        "end": 0.9015,
        "changePct": -37.61,
        "longPctEnd": 47.41,
        "avg": 1.1895,
        "startAt": "2026-09-18T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-19T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "taker": {
        "ratio": 1.0628,
        "buyVol": 113770.06,
        "sellVol": 107051.45,
        "hourlyMax": 1.3126,
        "hourlyMin": 0.6596,
        "last": 0.7119,
        "hoursBuyDominant": 12,
        "hours": 24
      }
    },
    "sentiment": {
      "fgi": {
        "value": 56,
        "classification": "Greed",
        "classificationZh": "贪婪",
        "prev": 50,
        "prevClassificationZh": "中性",
        "change": 6,
        "at": "2026-09-18T00:00:00Z"
      }
    },
    "score": {
      "configVersion": "2026-09-25.2",
      "trendScore": 1.56,
      "label": "bull",
      "labelZh": "看多",
      "confidence": 0.84,
      "components": {
        "weightedZ": 0.9742,
        "agreement": 0.651,
        "strength": 1,
        "coverage": 1
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "ret1d",
          "nameZh": "当日涨跌",
          "weight": 0.25,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 5.845,
          "z": 2.222,
          "contribution": 0.889
        },
        {
          "key": "mom3d",
          "nameZh": "3 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 6.926,
          "z": 1.512,
          "contribution": 0.242
        },
        {
          "key": "mom7d",
          "nameZh": "7 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 4.737,
          "z": 0.684,
          "contribution": 0.109
        },
        {
          "key": "emaTrend",
          "nameZh": "日线 EMA 趋势",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.6369,
          "z": 0.249,
          "contribution": 0.04
        },
        {
          "key": "oiChange",
          "nameZh": "持仓量变化",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -0.283,
          "z": -0.094,
          "contribution": -0.015
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingChange",
          "nameZh": "资金费率变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.00001331,
          "z": 0.266,
          "contribution": 0.021
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingLevel",
          "nameZh": "资金费率拥挤度",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.00007133,
          "z": 0.143,
          "contribution": 0.011
        },
        {
          "key": "taker",
          "nameZh": "主动买卖比",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 1.0628,
          "z": 1.256,
          "contribution": 0.201
        },
        {
          "key": "retailLs",
          "nameZh": "散户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -37.61,
          "z": 3,
          "contribution": 0.24
        },
        {
          "key": "topLs",
          "nameZh": "大户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -35.28,
          "z": -3,
          "contribution": -0.24
        },
        {
          "key": "fgiChange",
          "nameZh": "恐惧贪婪指数变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 6,
          "z": 0.75,
          "contribution": 0.06
        }
      ]
    },
    "trendComparison": {
      "today": {
        "date": "2026-09-18",
        "trendScore": 1.56,
        "label": "bull",
        "labelZh": "看多",
        "confidence": 0.84
      },
      "yesterday": {
        "date": "2026-09-17",
        "trendScore": 0,
        "label": "neutral",
        "labelZh": "中性",
        "confidence": 0.3
      },
      "delta": 1.56
    },
    "dataSummary": "系统研判「看多」，趋势分 +1.56（置信度 84%），前一日为「中性」（0.00）。BTC 收于 $80,883.87，日涨跌 +5.84%，日内振幅 6.68%；3 日 +6.93%，7 日 +4.74%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +0.64%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 30 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 -0.28%，资金费率日均 +0.0071%（前 7 日 +0.0058%），主动买卖比 1.063，全市场账户多空比 1.445 → 0.902，大户账户多空比 1.518 → 0.983。恐惧贪婪指数 56（贪婪）。主要偏多因子：当日涨跌、3 日动量；主要偏空因子：大户多空比变化。",
    "dataBlocks": [
      {
        "title": "关键数据",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "收盘 $80,883.87，UTC 2026-09-18 00:00 开盘 $76,417.01，日涨跌 +5.84%（前收 $76,417.01）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "日内高 $81,400.00 / 低 $76,296.00，振幅 6.68%；30 日区间 $68,902.22 – $82,300.00",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "动量：3 日 +6.93%，7 日 +4.74%，30 日 +16.66%；30 日日波动率 2.56%",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "日线 EMA10 $77,768.04 / EMA20 $77,252.92，间距 +0.64%（占收盘价），金叉状态（EMA10 在 EMA20 上方）；最近一次交叉：2026-08-19 金叉，距今 30 天",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "现货成交 23,908 BTC（约 18.98 亿 USDT），近 7 日成交量较前 7 日 +5.05%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "永续持仓量 108,245 → 107,939 BTC（-0.28%，-307 BTC），名义价值约 87.28 亿美元",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "资金费率日均 +0.0071%（08:00 +0.0079% / 16:00 +0.0069% / 次日 00:00 +0.0066%），前 7 日均值 +0.0058%，年化约 +7.8%",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "主动买卖比 24h 汇总 1.063（买 113,770 / 卖 107,051 BTC），12/24 小时买方占优",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "全市场账户多空比 1.445 → 0.902（-37.61%）；大户账户多空比 1.518 → 0.983（-35.28%）；大户持仓多空比收于 1.976",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "恐惧贪婪指数 50 → 56（贪婪，+6）",
            "highlight": "green"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "24H 行情复盘",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "早段（UTC 00:00–06:00）：$76,417.01 → $77,493.80，+1.41%，区间 $76,296.00 – $77,715.48，成交 4,029 BTC（占全日 16.9%）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "早午后（UTC 06:00–12:00）：$77,493.80 → $78,062.00，+0.73%，区间 $77,402.32 – $78,490.79，成交 4,987 BTC（占全日 20.9%）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "午后（UTC 12:00–18:00）：$78,062.01 → $81,019.00，+3.79%，区间 $77,972.30 – $81,258.01，成交 11,086 BTC（占全日 46.4%），全日放量时段",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "收市（UTC 18:00–24:00）：$81,019.00 → $80,883.87，-0.17%，区间 $80,796.92 – $81,400.00，成交 3,806 BTC（占全日 15.9%）",
            "highlight": "red"
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "aiStatus": "pending",
    "outlook": null,
    "analysis": null,
    "sources": {
      "spotDaily": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)",
      "spotPhases": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)",
      "funding": "https://www.binance.com",
      "openInterest": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topPositionLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topAccountLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "retailLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "taker": "https://www.binance.com",
      "fgi": "https://api.alternative.me/fng/"
    },
    "dataQuality": {
      "missing": [],
      "warnings": []
    }
  },
  "aiMetadata": {
    "model": "grok-4.7",
    "generatedAt": null
  }
}