{
  "record": {
    "id": "btc-2026-09-07",
    "asset": "btc",
    "assetName": "比特币",
    "scope": "digital",
    "date": "2026-09-07",
    "dateLabel": "UTC交易日",
    "title": "比特币 · 2026-09-07 日度研判归档",
    "kind": "日度研判",
    "status": "data",
    "statusLabel": "数据与评分 · AI文字未生成",
    "summary": "系统研判「中性偏空」，趋势分 -0.40（置信度 55%），前一日为「中性偏多」（+0.18）。BTC 收于 $79,112.01，日涨跌 -1.53%，日内振幅 2.20%；3 日 -0.69%，7 日 +0.68%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +2.73%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 19 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 +1.26%，资金费率日均 +0.0033%（前 7 日 +0.0056%），主动买卖比 0.917，全市场账户多空比 1.060 → 1.161，大户账户多空比 1.130 → 1.269。恐惧贪婪指数 71（贪婪）。主要偏多因子：大户多空比变化、日线 EMA 趋势；主要偏空因子：主动买卖比、当日涨跌。",
    "label": "中性偏空",
    "score": -0.4,
    "version": "2026-09-25.2",
    "href": "/zh/research/archive/btc-2026-09-07/",
    "sourceHref": "/data/btc-ai/2026-09-07.json",
    "currentHref": "/zh/bitcoin/ai/",
    "capturedAt": "2026-10-05T13:28:08Z",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.232Z"
  },
  "sourceSha256": "7457752174c384b299c4ef5b22b7335b44bcd01b8110879310ed0c58fe5f0e51",
  "document": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "symbol": "BTC",
    "tradingDate": "2026-09-07",
    "window": {
      "start": "2026-09-07T00:00:00Z",
      "end": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "timezone": "UTC"
    },
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.232Z",
    "market": {
      "open": 80341.83,
      "high": 80443.99,
      "low": 78680,
      "close": 79112.01,
      "prevClose": 80341.83,
      "change1dPct": -1.531,
      "change3dPct": -0.689,
      "change7dPct": 0.675,
      "change30dPct": 21.781,
      "amplitudePct": 2.196,
      "volumeBtc": 10572.45,
      "quoteVolumeUsdt": 839882675,
      "volume7dChangePct": -11.29,
      "realizedVolDailyPct": 2.419,
      "realizedVolSamples": 30,
      "logRet1d": -0.015425710493642468,
      "logRet3d": -0.006912547416869811,
      "logRet7d": 0.006731065984250508,
      "high30d": 82300,
      "low30d": 62535.24,
      "emaTrend": {
        "ema10": 78906.89,
        "ema20": 76746.55,
        "gapPct": 2.7307,
        "state": "golden",
        "lastCross": "golden",
        "lastCrossDate": "2026-08-19",
        "barsSinceCross": 19,
        "barsUsed": 151
      }
    },
    "phases": [
      {
        "key": "early",
        "nameZh": "早段",
        "hours": "00:00–06:00",
        "open": 80341.83,
        "high": 80443.99,
        "low": 79540.38,
        "close": 79759.47,
        "changePct": -0.725,
        "rangePct": 1.125,
        "volumeBtc": 3043.57,
        "volumeSharePct": 28.8
      },
      {
        "key": "morning",
        "nameZh": "早午后",
        "hours": "06:00–12:00",
        "open": 79759.47,
        "high": 79825.7,
        "low": 79001.1,
        "close": 79420.16,
        "changePct": -0.425,
        "rangePct": 1.034,
        "volumeBtc": 2846,
        "volumeSharePct": 26.9
      },
      {
        "key": "afternoon",
        "nameZh": "午后",
        "hours": "12:00–18:00",
        "open": 79420.16,
        "high": 79643.5,
        "low": 78680,
        "close": 79185.73,
        "changePct": -0.295,
        "rangePct": 1.213,
        "volumeBtc": 3016.98,
        "volumeSharePct": 28.5
      },
      {
        "key": "close",
        "nameZh": "收市",
        "hours": "18:00–24:00",
        "open": 79185.74,
        "high": 79419.17,
        "low": 78781.07,
        "close": 79112.01,
        "changePct": -0.093,
        "rangePct": 0.806,
        "volumeBtc": 1665.9,
        "volumeSharePct": 15.8
      }
    ],
    "derivatives": {
      "topAccountLongShort": {
        "start": 1.1304,
        "end": 1.2686,
        "changePct": 12.23,
        "longPctEnd": 55.92,
        "avg": 1.2062,
        "startAt": "2026-09-07T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "openInterest": {
        "start": 105543.713,
        "end": 106876.11,
        "startUsd": 8475632589,
        "endUsd": 8451324587,
        "change": 1332.397,
        "changePct": 1.262,
        "high": 108040.384,
        "low": 105543.713,
        "startAt": "2026-09-07T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "taker": {
        "ratio": 0.9168,
        "buyVol": 45278.54,
        "sellVol": 49389.58,
        "hourlyMax": 1.5309,
        "hourlyMin": 0.6674,
        "last": 1.3651,
        "hoursBuyDominant": 7,
        "hours": 24
      },
      "retailLongShort": {
        "start": 1.0602,
        "end": 1.1608,
        "changePct": 9.49,
        "longPctEnd": 53.72,
        "avg": 1.1069,
        "startAt": "2026-09-07T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "funding": {
        "settlements": [
          {
            "at": "2026-09-07T08:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00003113
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-09-07T16:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00002185
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00004542
          }
        ],
        "openRate": 0.00002792,
        "avg": 0.0000328,
        "last": 0.00004542,
        "prev7dAvg": 0.00005618,
        "prev7dCount": 21,
        "annualizedPct": 3.59
      },
      "topPositionLongShort": {
        "start": 2.0219,
        "end": 2.005,
        "changePct": -0.84,
        "longPctEnd": 66.72,
        "avg": 2.0013,
        "startAt": "2026-09-07T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      }
    },
    "sentiment": {
      "fgi": {
        "value": 71,
        "classification": "Greed",
        "classificationZh": "贪婪",
        "prev": 73,
        "prevClassificationZh": "贪婪",
        "change": -2,
        "at": "2026-09-07T00:00:00Z"
      }
    },
    "score": {
      "configVersion": "2026-09-25.2",
      "trendScore": -0.4,
      "label": "neutral_lean_bear",
      "labelZh": "中性偏空",
      "confidence": 0.55,
      "components": {
        "weightedZ": -0.2528,
        "agreement": 0.404,
        "strength": 0.267,
        "coverage": 1
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "ret1d",
          "nameZh": "当日涨跌",
          "weight": 0.25,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -1.531,
          "z": -0.638,
          "contribution": -0.255
        },
        {
          "key": "mom3d",
          "nameZh": "3 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -0.689,
          "z": -0.165,
          "contribution": -0.026
        },
        {
          "key": "mom7d",
          "nameZh": "7 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.675,
          "z": 0.105,
          "contribution": 0.017
        },
        {
          "key": "emaTrend",
          "nameZh": "日线 EMA 趋势",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 2.7307,
          "z": 1.129,
          "contribution": 0.181
        },
        {
          "key": "oiChange",
          "nameZh": "持仓量变化",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 1.262,
          "z": -0.421,
          "contribution": -0.067
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingChange",
          "nameZh": "资金费率变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -0.00002338,
          "z": -0.468,
          "contribution": -0.037
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingLevel",
          "nameZh": "资金费率拥挤度",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.0000328,
          "z": 0.336,
          "contribution": 0.027
        },
        {
          "key": "taker",
          "nameZh": "主动买卖比",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.9168,
          "z": -1.664,
          "contribution": -0.266
        },
        {
          "key": "retailLs",
          "nameZh": "散户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 9.49,
          "z": -1.898,
          "contribution": -0.152
        },
        {
          "key": "topLs",
          "nameZh": "大户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 12.23,
          "z": 2.445,
          "contribution": 0.196
        },
        {
          "key": "fgiChange",
          "nameZh": "恐惧贪婪指数变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -2,
          "z": -0.25,
          "contribution": -0.02
        }
      ]
    },
    "trendComparison": {
      "today": {
        "date": "2026-09-07",
        "trendScore": -0.4,
        "label": "neutral_lean_bear",
        "labelZh": "中性偏空",
        "confidence": 0.55
      },
      "yesterday": {
        "date": "2026-09-06",
        "trendScore": 0.18,
        "label": "neutral_lean_bull",
        "labelZh": "中性偏多",
        "confidence": 0.44
      },
      "delta": -0.58
    },
    "dataSummary": "系统研判「中性偏空」，趋势分 -0.40（置信度 55%），前一日为「中性偏多」（+0.18）。BTC 收于 $79,112.01，日涨跌 -1.53%，日内振幅 2.20%；3 日 -0.69%，7 日 +0.68%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +2.73%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 19 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 +1.26%，资金费率日均 +0.0033%（前 7 日 +0.0056%），主动买卖比 0.917，全市场账户多空比 1.060 → 1.161，大户账户多空比 1.130 → 1.269。恐惧贪婪指数 71（贪婪）。主要偏多因子：大户多空比变化、日线 EMA 趋势；主要偏空因子：主动买卖比、当日涨跌。",
    "dataBlocks": [
      {
        "title": "关键数据",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "收盘 $79,112.01，UTC 2026-09-07 00:00 开盘 $80,341.83，日涨跌 -1.53%（前收 $80,341.83）",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "日内高 $80,443.99 / 低 $78,680.00，振幅 2.20%；30 日区间 $62,535.24 – $82,300.00",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "动量：3 日 -0.69%，7 日 +0.68%，30 日 +21.78%；30 日日波动率 2.42%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "日线 EMA10 $78,906.89 / EMA20 $76,746.55，间距 +2.73%（占收盘价），金叉状态（EMA10 在 EMA20 上方）；最近一次交叉：2026-08-19 金叉，距今 19 天",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "现货成交 10,572 BTC（约 8.40 亿 USDT），近 7 日成交量较前 7 日 -11.29%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "永续持仓量 105,544 → 106,876 BTC（+1.26%，+1,332 BTC），名义价值约 84.51 亿美元",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "资金费率日均 +0.0033%（08:00 +0.0031% / 16:00 +0.0022% / 次日 00:00 +0.0045%），前 7 日均值 +0.0056%，年化约 +3.6%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "主动买卖比 24h 汇总 0.917（买 45,279 / 卖 49,390 BTC），7/24 小时买方占优",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "全市场账户多空比 1.060 → 1.161（+9.49%）；大户账户多空比 1.130 → 1.269（+12.23%）；大户持仓多空比收于 2.005",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "恐惧贪婪指数 73 → 71（贪婪，-2）",
            "highlight": "red"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "24H 行情复盘",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "早段（UTC 00:00–06:00）：$80,341.83 → $79,759.47，-0.72%，区间 $79,540.38 – $80,443.99，成交 3,044 BTC（占全日 28.8%），全日放量时段",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "早午后（UTC 06:00–12:00）：$79,759.47 → $79,420.16，-0.42%，区间 $79,001.10 – $79,825.70，成交 2,846 BTC（占全日 26.9%）",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "午后（UTC 12:00–18:00）：$79,420.16 → $79,185.73，-0.29%，区间 $78,680.00 – $79,643.50，成交 3,017 BTC（占全日 28.5%）",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "收市（UTC 18:00–24:00）：$79,185.74 → $79,112.01，-0.09%，区间 $78,781.07 – $79,419.17，成交 1,666 BTC（占全日 15.8%）",
            "highlight": "grey"
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "aiStatus": "pending",
    "outlook": null,
    "analysis": null,
    "sources": {
      "spotDaily": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)",
      "spotPhases": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)",
      "topAccountLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "openInterest": "https://www.binance.com",
      "taker": "https://www.binance.com",
      "retailLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "funding": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topPositionLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "fgi": "https://api.alternative.me/fng/"
    },
    "dataQuality": {
      "missing": [],
      "warnings": []
    }
  },
  "aiMetadata": {
    "model": "grok-4.7",
    "generatedAt": null
  }
}