{
  "record": {
    "id": "btc-2026-09-03",
    "asset": "btc",
    "assetName": "比特币",
    "scope": "digital",
    "date": "2026-09-03",
    "dateLabel": "UTC交易日",
    "title": "比特币 · 2026-09-03 日度研判归档",
    "kind": "日度研判",
    "status": "data",
    "statusLabel": "数据与评分 · AI文字未生成",
    "summary": "系统研判「看多」，趋势分 +1.93（置信度 88%），前一日为「中性偏空」（-0.04）。BTC 收于 $81,270.37，日涨跌 +5.08%，日内振幅 6.89%；3 日 +3.42%，7 日 +1.27%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +3.26%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 15 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 +4.71%，资金费率日均 +0.0078%（前 7 日 +0.0081%），主动买卖比 1.114，全市场账户多空比 1.215 → 0.782，大户账户多空比 1.296 → 0.831。恐惧贪婪指数 65（贪婪）。主要偏多因子：当日涨跌、主动买卖比；主要偏空因子：大户多空比变化。",
    "label": "看多",
    "score": 1.93,
    "version": "2026-09-25.2",
    "href": "/zh/research/archive/btc-2026-09-03/",
    "sourceHref": "/data/btc-ai/2026-09-03.json",
    "currentHref": "/zh/bitcoin/ai/",
    "capturedAt": "2026-10-05T13:28:08Z",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.221Z"
  },
  "sourceSha256": "b21b9bde97142b200fd36e56167154a9038d94efa9ad70abee104557e894368f",
  "document": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "symbol": "BTC",
    "tradingDate": "2026-09-03",
    "window": {
      "start": "2026-09-03T00:00:00Z",
      "end": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
      "timezone": "UTC"
    },
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.221Z",
    "market": {
      "open": 77340.01,
      "high": 82300,
      "low": 76968,
      "close": 81270.37,
      "prevClose": 77340.01,
      "change1dPct": 5.082,
      "change3dPct": 3.422,
      "change7dPct": 1.272,
      "change30dPct": 26.774,
      "amplitudePct": 6.894,
      "volumeBtc": 19806.42,
      "quoteVolumeUsdt": 1579639080,
      "volume7dChangePct": -40.16,
      "realizedVolDailyPct": 2.24,
      "realizedVolSamples": 30,
      "logRet1d": 0.04957008200189175,
      "logRet3d": 0.033647867093727385,
      "logRet7d": 0.012639969128662852,
      "high30d": 82300,
      "low30d": 62535.24,
      "emaTrend": {
        "ema10": 77928.59,
        "ema20": 75282.33,
        "gapPct": 3.2561,
        "state": "golden",
        "lastCross": "golden",
        "lastCrossDate": "2026-08-19",
        "barsSinceCross": 15,
        "barsUsed": 151
      }
    },
    "phases": [
      {
        "key": "early",
        "nameZh": "早段",
        "hours": "00:00–06:00",
        "open": 77340.01,
        "high": 77900,
        "low": 76968,
        "close": 77809.91,
        "changePct": 0.608,
        "rangePct": 1.205,
        "volumeBtc": 2763.75,
        "volumeSharePct": 14
      },
      {
        "key": "morning",
        "nameZh": "早午后",
        "hours": "06:00–12:00",
        "open": 77809.91,
        "high": 78183.91,
        "low": 77478,
        "close": 77948.39,
        "changePct": 0.178,
        "rangePct": 0.907,
        "volumeBtc": 2611.75,
        "volumeSharePct": 13.2
      },
      {
        "key": "afternoon",
        "nameZh": "午后",
        "hours": "12:00–18:00",
        "open": 77948.39,
        "high": 81370.33,
        "low": 77896.07,
        "close": 81042,
        "changePct": 3.969,
        "rangePct": 4.457,
        "volumeBtc": 9717.66,
        "volumeSharePct": 49.1
      },
      {
        "key": "close",
        "nameZh": "收市",
        "hours": "18:00–24:00",
        "open": 81042,
        "high": 82300,
        "low": 80904,
        "close": 81270.37,
        "changePct": 0.282,
        "rangePct": 1.723,
        "volumeBtc": 4713.26,
        "volumeSharePct": 23.8
      }
    ],
    "derivatives": {
      "funding": {
        "settlements": [
          {
            "at": "2026-09-03T08:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00005866
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-09-03T16:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00008893
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00008558
          }
        ],
        "openRate": 0.00007287,
        "avg": 0.00007772,
        "last": 0.00008558,
        "prev7dAvg": 0.00008136,
        "prev7dCount": 21,
        "annualizedPct": 8.51
      },
      "openInterest": {
        "start": 107652.063,
        "end": 112717.545,
        "startUsd": 8321784982,
        "endUsd": 9156547066,
        "change": 5065.482,
        "changePct": 4.705,
        "high": 113155.747,
        "low": 106782.796,
        "startAt": "2026-09-03T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "retailLongShort": {
        "start": 1.2148,
        "end": 0.7816,
        "changePct": -35.66,
        "longPctEnd": 43.87,
        "avg": 1.0468,
        "startAt": "2026-09-03T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "topAccountLongShort": {
        "start": 1.2957,
        "end": 0.8305,
        "changePct": -35.9,
        "longPctEnd": 45.37,
        "avg": 1.1033,
        "startAt": "2026-09-03T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "taker": {
        "ratio": 1.1138,
        "buyVol": 126315.95,
        "sellVol": 113413.32,
        "hourlyMax": 1.587,
        "hourlyMin": 0.8073,
        "last": 1.2077,
        "hoursBuyDominant": 16,
        "hours": 24
      },
      "topPositionLongShort": {
        "start": 1.9774,
        "end": 1.9261,
        "changePct": -2.59,
        "longPctEnd": 65.82,
        "avg": 1.9085,
        "startAt": "2026-09-03T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      }
    },
    "sentiment": {
      "fgi": {
        "value": 65,
        "classification": "Greed",
        "classificationZh": "贪婪",
        "prev": 63,
        "prevClassificationZh": "贪婪",
        "change": 2,
        "at": "2026-09-03T00:00:00Z"
      }
    },
    "score": {
      "configVersion": "2026-09-25.2",
      "trendScore": 1.93,
      "label": "bull",
      "labelZh": "看多",
      "confidence": 0.88,
      "components": {
        "weightedZ": 1.2055,
        "agreement": 0.726,
        "strength": 1,
        "coverage": 1
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "ret1d",
          "nameZh": "当日涨跌",
          "weight": 0.25,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 5.082,
          "z": 2.213,
          "contribution": 0.885
        },
        {
          "key": "mom3d",
          "nameZh": "3 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 3.422,
          "z": 0.867,
          "contribution": 0.139
        },
        {
          "key": "mom7d",
          "nameZh": "7 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 1.272,
          "z": 0.213,
          "contribution": 0.034
        },
        {
          "key": "emaTrend",
          "nameZh": "日线 EMA 趋势",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 3.2561,
          "z": 1.454,
          "contribution": 0.233
        },
        {
          "key": "oiChange",
          "nameZh": "持仓量变化",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 4.705,
          "z": 1.568,
          "contribution": 0.251
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingChange",
          "nameZh": "资金费率变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -0.00000364,
          "z": -0.073,
          "contribution": -0.006
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingLevel",
          "nameZh": "资金费率拥挤度",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.00007772,
          "z": 0.111,
          "contribution": 0.009
        },
        {
          "key": "taker",
          "nameZh": "主动买卖比",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 1.1138,
          "z": 2.276,
          "contribution": 0.364
        },
        {
          "key": "retailLs",
          "nameZh": "散户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -35.66,
          "z": 3,
          "contribution": 0.24
        },
        {
          "key": "topLs",
          "nameZh": "大户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -35.9,
          "z": -3,
          "contribution": -0.24
        },
        {
          "key": "fgiChange",
          "nameZh": "恐惧贪婪指数变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 2,
          "z": 0.25,
          "contribution": 0.02
        }
      ]
    },
    "trendComparison": {
      "today": {
        "date": "2026-09-03",
        "trendScore": 1.93,
        "label": "bull",
        "labelZh": "看多",
        "confidence": 0.88
      },
      "yesterday": {
        "date": "2026-09-02",
        "trendScore": -0.04,
        "label": "neutral_lean_bear",
        "labelZh": "中性偏空",
        "confidence": 0.42
      },
      "delta": 1.97
    },
    "dataSummary": "系统研判「看多」，趋势分 +1.93（置信度 88%），前一日为「中性偏空」（-0.04）。BTC 收于 $81,270.37，日涨跌 +5.08%，日内振幅 6.89%；3 日 +3.42%，7 日 +1.27%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +3.26%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 15 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 +4.71%，资金费率日均 +0.0078%（前 7 日 +0.0081%），主动买卖比 1.114，全市场账户多空比 1.215 → 0.782，大户账户多空比 1.296 → 0.831。恐惧贪婪指数 65（贪婪）。主要偏多因子：当日涨跌、主动买卖比；主要偏空因子：大户多空比变化。",
    "dataBlocks": [
      {
        "title": "关键数据",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "收盘 $81,270.37，UTC 2026-09-03 00:00 开盘 $77,340.01，日涨跌 +5.08%（前收 $77,340.01）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "日内高 $82,300.00 / 低 $76,968.00，振幅 6.89%；30 日区间 $62,535.24 – $82,300.00",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "动量：3 日 +3.42%，7 日 +1.27%，30 日 +26.77%；30 日日波动率 2.24%",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "日线 EMA10 $77,928.59 / EMA20 $75,282.33，间距 +3.26%（占收盘价），金叉状态（EMA10 在 EMA20 上方）；最近一次交叉：2026-08-19 金叉，距今 15 天",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "现货成交 19,806 BTC（约 15.80 亿 USDT），近 7 日成交量较前 7 日 -40.16%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "永续持仓量 107,652 → 112,718 BTC（+4.71%，+5,065 BTC），名义价值约 91.57 亿美元",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "资金费率日均 +0.0078%（08:00 +0.0059% / 16:00 +0.0089% / 次日 00:00 +0.0086%），前 7 日均值 +0.0081%，年化约 +8.5%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "主动买卖比 24h 汇总 1.114（买 126,316 / 卖 113,413 BTC），16/24 小时买方占优",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "全市场账户多空比 1.215 → 0.782（-35.66%）；大户账户多空比 1.296 → 0.831（-35.90%）；大户持仓多空比收于 1.926",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "恐惧贪婪指数 63 → 65（贪婪，+2）",
            "highlight": "green"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "24H 行情复盘",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "早段（UTC 00:00–06:00）：$77,340.01 → $77,809.91，+0.61%，区间 $76,968.00 – $77,900.00，成交 2,764 BTC（占全日 14%）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "早午后（UTC 06:00–12:00）：$77,809.91 → $77,948.39，+0.18%，区间 $77,478.00 – $78,183.91，成交 2,612 BTC（占全日 13.2%）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "午后（UTC 12:00–18:00）：$77,948.39 → $81,042.00，+3.97%，区间 $77,896.07 – $81,370.33，成交 9,718 BTC（占全日 49.1%），全日放量时段",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "收市（UTC 18:00–24:00）：$81,042.00 → $81,270.37，+0.28%，区间 $80,904.00 – $82,300.00，成交 4,713 BTC（占全日 23.8%）",
            "highlight": "green"
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "aiStatus": "pending",
    "outlook": null,
    "analysis": null,
    "sources": {
      "spotDaily": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)",
      "spotPhases": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)",
      "funding": "https://www.binance.com",
      "openInterest": "https://www.binance.com",
      "retailLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topAccountLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "taker": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topPositionLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "fgi": "https://api.alternative.me/fng/"
    },
    "dataQuality": {
      "missing": [],
      "warnings": []
    }
  },
  "aiMetadata": {
    "model": "grok-4.7",
    "generatedAt": null
  }
}