{
  "record": {
    "id": "btc-2026-08-29",
    "asset": "btc",
    "assetName": "比特币",
    "scope": "digital",
    "date": "2026-08-29",
    "dateLabel": "UTC交易日",
    "title": "比特币 · 2026-08-29 日度研判归档",
    "kind": "日度研判",
    "status": "data",
    "statusLabel": "数据与评分 · AI文字未生成",
    "summary": "系统研判「偏多」，趋势分 +0.54（置信度 55%），前一日为「中性偏空」（-0.31）。BTC 收于 $78,230.00，日涨跌 +0.49%，日内振幅 1.22%；3 日 -1.00%，7 日 +1.50%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +4.37%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 10 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 +1.95%，资金费率日均 +0.0094%（前 7 日 +0.0086%），主动买卖比 1.058，全市场账户多空比 1.188 → 1.188，大户账户多空比 1.311 → 1.229。恐惧贪婪指数 68（贪婪）。主要偏多因子：日线 EMA 趋势、主动买卖比；主要偏空因子：大户多空比变化、恐惧贪婪指数变化。",
    "label": "偏多",
    "score": 0.54,
    "version": "2026-09-25.2",
    "href": "/zh/research/archive/btc-2026-08-29/",
    "sourceHref": "/data/btc-ai/2026-08-29.json",
    "currentHref": "/zh/bitcoin/ai/",
    "capturedAt": "2026-10-05T13:28:08Z",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.208Z"
  },
  "sourceSha256": "f37785fa69d677e4fd57de85738724eb1a325756fbba5f2fc6184db638cb9b99",
  "document": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "symbol": "BTC",
    "tradingDate": "2026-08-29",
    "window": {
      "start": "2026-08-29T00:00:00Z",
      "end": "2026-08-30T00:00:00Z",
      "timezone": "UTC"
    },
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.208Z",
    "market": {
      "open": 77845.88,
      "high": 78330,
      "low": 77382.37,
      "close": 78230,
      "prevClose": 77845.87,
      "change1dPct": 0.493,
      "change3dPct": -1.004,
      "change7dPct": 1.499,
      "change30dPct": 20.763,
      "amplitudePct": 1.217,
      "volumeBtc": 7016.3,
      "quoteVolumeUsdt": 545867985,
      "volume7dChangePct": -19.32,
      "realizedVolDailyPct": 2.298,
      "realizedVolSamples": 30,
      "logRet1d": 0.004922359562822108,
      "logRet3d": -0.010095234500405937,
      "logRet7d": 0.014875140131480283,
      "high30d": 81478.87,
      "low30d": 62275,
      "emaTrend": {
        "ema10": 76550.29,
        "ema20": 73135.5,
        "gapPct": 4.3651,
        "state": "golden",
        "lastCross": "golden",
        "lastCrossDate": "2026-08-19",
        "barsSinceCross": 10,
        "barsUsed": 151
      }
    },
    "phases": [
      {
        "key": "early",
        "nameZh": "早段",
        "hours": "00:00–06:00",
        "open": 77845.88,
        "high": 77963.92,
        "low": 77507.16,
        "close": 77632.53,
        "changePct": -0.274,
        "rangePct": 0.587,
        "volumeBtc": 1588.62,
        "volumeSharePct": 22.6
      },
      {
        "key": "morning",
        "nameZh": "早午后",
        "hours": "06:00–12:00",
        "open": 77632.52,
        "high": 77754.23,
        "low": 77382.37,
        "close": 77584.67,
        "changePct": -0.062,
        "rangePct": 0.479,
        "volumeBtc": 2230.9,
        "volumeSharePct": 31.8
      },
      {
        "key": "afternoon",
        "nameZh": "午后",
        "hours": "12:00–18:00",
        "open": 77584.66,
        "high": 78150,
        "low": 77506.63,
        "close": 78100,
        "changePct": 0.664,
        "rangePct": 0.829,
        "volumeBtc": 1823.85,
        "volumeSharePct": 26
      },
      {
        "key": "close",
        "nameZh": "收市",
        "hours": "18:00–24:00",
        "open": 78099.99,
        "high": 78330,
        "low": 78018.02,
        "close": 78230,
        "changePct": 0.166,
        "rangePct": 0.399,
        "volumeBtc": 1372.93,
        "volumeSharePct": 19.6
      }
    ],
    "derivatives": {
      "funding": {
        "settlements": [
          {
            "at": "2026-08-29T08:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.0001
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-08-29T16:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.0001
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-08-30T00:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00008283
          }
        ],
        "openRate": 0.0001,
        "avg": 0.00009428,
        "last": 0.00008283,
        "prev7dAvg": 0.00008571,
        "prev7dCount": 21,
        "annualizedPct": 10.32
      },
      "topAccountLongShort": {
        "start": 1.3111,
        "end": 1.2287,
        "changePct": -6.28,
        "longPctEnd": 55.13,
        "avg": 1.238,
        "startAt": "2026-08-29T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-08-30T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "openInterest": {
        "start": 105609.137,
        "end": 107673.021,
        "startUsd": 8217042639,
        "endUsd": 8420208319,
        "change": 2063.884,
        "changePct": 1.954,
        "high": 107914.405,
        "low": 105609.137,
        "startAt": "2026-08-29T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-08-30T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "topPositionLongShort": {
        "start": 2.1439,
        "end": 2.0826,
        "changePct": -2.86,
        "longPctEnd": 67.56,
        "avg": 2.0826,
        "startAt": "2026-08-29T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-08-30T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "retailLongShort": {
        "start": 1.1877,
        "end": 1.1877,
        "changePct": 0,
        "longPctEnd": 54.29,
        "avg": 1.1834,
        "startAt": "2026-08-29T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-08-30T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "taker": {
        "ratio": 1.0576,
        "buyVol": 24767.33,
        "sellVol": 23418.35,
        "hourlyMax": 1.6199,
        "hourlyMin": 0.617,
        "last": 0.983,
        "hoursBuyDominant": 13,
        "hours": 24
      }
    },
    "sentiment": {
      "fgi": {
        "value": 68,
        "classification": "Greed",
        "classificationZh": "贪婪",
        "prev": 73,
        "prevClassificationZh": "贪婪",
        "change": -5,
        "at": "2026-08-29T00:00:00Z"
      }
    },
    "score": {
      "configVersion": "2026-09-25.2",
      "trendScore": 0.54,
      "label": "lean_bull",
      "labelZh": "偏多",
      "confidence": 0.55,
      "components": {
        "weightedZ": 0.3388,
        "agreement": 0.353,
        "strength": 0.36,
        "coverage": 1
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "ret1d",
          "nameZh": "当日涨跌",
          "weight": 0.25,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.493,
          "z": 0.214,
          "contribution": 0.086
        },
        {
          "key": "mom3d",
          "nameZh": "3 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -1.004,
          "z": -0.254,
          "contribution": -0.041
        },
        {
          "key": "mom7d",
          "nameZh": "7 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 1.499,
          "z": 0.245,
          "contribution": 0.039
        },
        {
          "key": "emaTrend",
          "nameZh": "日线 EMA 趋势",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 4.3651,
          "z": 1.9,
          "contribution": 0.304
        },
        {
          "key": "oiChange",
          "nameZh": "持仓量变化",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 1.954,
          "z": 0.651,
          "contribution": 0.104
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingChange",
          "nameZh": "资金费率变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.00000857,
          "z": 0.171,
          "contribution": 0.014
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingLevel",
          "nameZh": "资金费率拥挤度",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.00009428,
          "z": 0.029,
          "contribution": 0.002
        },
        {
          "key": "taker",
          "nameZh": "主动买卖比",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 1.0576,
          "z": 1.152,
          "contribution": 0.184
        },
        {
          "key": "retailLs",
          "nameZh": "散户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0,
          "z": 0,
          "contribution": 0
        },
        {
          "key": "topLs",
          "nameZh": "大户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -6.28,
          "z": -1.257,
          "contribution": -0.101
        },
        {
          "key": "fgiChange",
          "nameZh": "恐惧贪婪指数变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -5,
          "z": -0.625,
          "contribution": -0.05
        }
      ]
    },
    "trendComparison": {
      "today": {
        "date": "2026-08-29",
        "trendScore": 0.54,
        "label": "lean_bull",
        "labelZh": "偏多",
        "confidence": 0.55
      },
      "yesterday": {
        "date": "2026-08-28",
        "trendScore": -0.31,
        "label": "neutral_lean_bear",
        "labelZh": "中性偏空",
        "confidence": 0.55
      },
      "delta": 0.85
    },
    "dataSummary": "系统研判「偏多」，趋势分 +0.54（置信度 55%），前一日为「中性偏空」（-0.31）。BTC 收于 $78,230.00，日涨跌 +0.49%，日内振幅 1.22%；3 日 -1.00%，7 日 +1.50%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +4.37%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 10 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 +1.95%，资金费率日均 +0.0094%（前 7 日 +0.0086%），主动买卖比 1.058，全市场账户多空比 1.188 → 1.188，大户账户多空比 1.311 → 1.229。恐惧贪婪指数 68（贪婪）。主要偏多因子：日线 EMA 趋势、主动买卖比；主要偏空因子：大户多空比变化、恐惧贪婪指数变化。",
    "dataBlocks": [
      {
        "title": "关键数据",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "收盘 $78,230.00，UTC 2026-08-29 00:00 开盘 $77,845.88，日涨跌 +0.49%（前收 $77,845.87）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "日内高 $78,330.00 / 低 $77,382.37，振幅 1.22%；30 日区间 $62,275.00 – $81,478.87",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "动量：3 日 -1.00%，7 日 +1.50%，30 日 +20.76%；30 日日波动率 2.30%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "日线 EMA10 $76,550.29 / EMA20 $73,135.50，间距 +4.37%（占收盘价），金叉状态（EMA10 在 EMA20 上方）；最近一次交叉：2026-08-19 金叉，距今 10 天",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "现货成交 7,016 BTC（约 5.46 亿 USDT），近 7 日成交量较前 7 日 -19.32%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "永续持仓量 105,609 → 107,673 BTC（+1.95%，+2,064 BTC），名义价值约 84.20 亿美元",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "资金费率日均 +0.0094%（08:00 +0.0100% / 16:00 +0.0100% / 次日 00:00 +0.0083%），前 7 日均值 +0.0086%，年化约 +10.3%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "主动买卖比 24h 汇总 1.058（买 24,767 / 卖 23,418 BTC），13/24 小时买方占优",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "全市场账户多空比 1.188 → 1.188（0.00%）；大户账户多空比 1.311 → 1.229（-6.28%）；大户持仓多空比收于 2.083",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "恐惧贪婪指数 73 → 68（贪婪，-5）",
            "highlight": "red"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "24H 行情复盘",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "早段（UTC 00:00–06:00）：$77,845.88 → $77,632.53，-0.27%，区间 $77,507.16 – $77,963.92，成交 1,589 BTC（占全日 22.6%）",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "早午后（UTC 06:00–12:00）：$77,632.52 → $77,584.67，-0.06%，区间 $77,382.37 – $77,754.23，成交 2,231 BTC（占全日 31.8%），全日放量时段",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "午后（UTC 12:00–18:00）：$77,584.66 → $78,100.00，+0.66%，区间 $77,506.63 – $78,150.00，成交 1,824 BTC（占全日 26%）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "收市（UTC 18:00–24:00）：$78,099.99 → $78,230.00，+0.17%，区间 $78,018.02 – $78,330.00，成交 1,373 BTC（占全日 19.6%）",
            "highlight": "green"
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "aiStatus": "pending",
    "outlook": null,
    "analysis": null,
    "sources": {
      "spotDaily": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)",
      "spotPhases": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)",
      "funding": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topAccountLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "openInterest": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topPositionLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "retailLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "taker": "https://www.binance.com",
      "fgi": "https://api.alternative.me/fng/"
    },
    "dataQuality": {
      "missing": [],
      "warnings": []
    }
  },
  "aiMetadata": {
    "model": "grok-4.7",
    "generatedAt": null
  }
}