{
  "record": {
    "id": "btc-2026-08-26",
    "asset": "btc",
    "assetName": "比特币",
    "scope": "digital",
    "date": "2026-08-26",
    "dateLabel": "UTC交易日",
    "title": "比特币 · 2026-08-26 日度研判归档",
    "kind": "日度研判",
    "status": "data",
    "statusLabel": "数据与评分 · AI文字未生成",
    "summary": "系统研判「偏多」，趋势分 +0.65（置信度 58%）。BTC 收于 $79,023.75，日涨跌 +0.62%，日内振幅 2.06%；3 日 +1.66%，7 日 +13.97%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +4.60%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 7 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 -0.94%，资金费率日均 +0.0059%（前 7 日 +0.0089%），主动买卖比 1.005，全市场账户多空比 1.001 → 1.086，大户账户多空比 1.089 → 1.151。恐惧贪婪指数 65（贪婪）。主要偏多因子：7 日动量、日线 EMA 趋势；主要偏空因子：散户多空比变化、恐惧贪婪指数变化。",
    "label": "偏多",
    "score": 0.65,
    "version": "2026-09-25.2",
    "href": "/zh/research/archive/btc-2026-08-26/",
    "sourceHref": "/data/btc-ai/2026-08-26.json",
    "currentHref": "/zh/bitcoin/ai/",
    "capturedAt": "2026-10-05T13:28:08Z",
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.181Z"
  },
  "sourceSha256": "3fc35afaabb0d848fc28bb4606948dd1f53887472e70e8bdb2b77691c79c9548",
  "document": {
    "schemaVersion": 1,
    "symbol": "BTC",
    "tradingDate": "2026-08-26",
    "window": {
      "start": "2026-08-26T00:00:00Z",
      "end": "2026-08-27T00:00:00Z",
      "timezone": "UTC"
    },
    "generatedAt": "2026-09-25T14:54:20.181Z",
    "market": {
      "open": 78539.13,
      "high": 79251.6,
      "low": 77632.58,
      "close": 79023.75,
      "prevClose": 78539.14,
      "change1dPct": 0.617,
      "change3dPct": 1.659,
      "change7dPct": 13.974,
      "change30dPct": 23.947,
      "amplitudePct": 2.061,
      "volumeBtc": 14613.76,
      "quoteVolumeUsdt": 1148236056,
      "volume7dChangePct": 107.86,
      "realizedVolDailyPct": 2.27,
      "realizedVolSamples": 30,
      "logRet1d": 0.006151340941960801,
      "logRet3d": 0.016455698096613135,
      "logRet7d": 0.13080163976950132,
      "high30d": 81272.62,
      "low30d": 62275,
      "emaTrend": {
        "ema10": 74818.74,
        "ema20": 71183.53,
        "gapPct": 4.6001,
        "state": "golden",
        "lastCross": "golden",
        "lastCrossDate": "2026-08-19",
        "barsSinceCross": 7,
        "barsUsed": 151
      }
    },
    "phases": [
      {
        "key": "early",
        "nameZh": "早段",
        "hours": "00:00–06:00",
        "open": 78539.13,
        "high": 79251.6,
        "low": 78312,
        "close": 79085.98,
        "changePct": 0.696,
        "rangePct": 1.196,
        "volumeBtc": 3210.25,
        "volumeSharePct": 22
      },
      {
        "key": "morning",
        "nameZh": "早午后",
        "hours": "06:00–12:00",
        "open": 79085.98,
        "high": 79206,
        "low": 78244.83,
        "close": 78487.26,
        "changePct": -0.757,
        "rangePct": 1.215,
        "volumeBtc": 3305.12,
        "volumeSharePct": 22.6
      },
      {
        "key": "afternoon",
        "nameZh": "午后",
        "hours": "12:00–18:00",
        "open": 78487.26,
        "high": 78713.79,
        "low": 77632.58,
        "close": 78442.83,
        "changePct": -0.057,
        "rangePct": 1.378,
        "volumeBtc": 4915.23,
        "volumeSharePct": 33.6
      },
      {
        "key": "close",
        "nameZh": "收市",
        "hours": "18:00–24:00",
        "open": 78442.84,
        "high": 79174.12,
        "low": 78200,
        "close": 79023.75,
        "changePct": 0.741,
        "rangePct": 1.242,
        "volumeBtc": 3183.16,
        "volumeSharePct": 21.8
      }
    ],
    "derivatives": {
      "funding": {
        "settlements": [
          {
            "at": "2026-08-26T08:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00005927
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-08-26T16:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00007091
          },
          {
            "at": "2026-08-27T00:00:00Z",
            "rate": 0.00004595
          }
        ],
        "openRate": 0.00007734,
        "avg": 0.00005871,
        "last": 0.00004595,
        "prev7dAvg": 0.00008915,
        "prev7dCount": 21,
        "annualizedPct": 6.43
      },
      "taker": {
        "ratio": 1.0052,
        "buyVol": 67347.12,
        "sellVol": 66997.9,
        "hourlyMax": 1.6607,
        "hourlyMin": 0.7164,
        "last": 1.2419,
        "hoursBuyDominant": 10,
        "hours": 24
      },
      "retailLongShort": {
        "start": 1.0008,
        "end": 1.0859,
        "changePct": 8.5,
        "longPctEnd": 52.06,
        "avg": 1.0368,
        "startAt": "2026-08-26T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-08-27T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "topPositionLongShort": {
        "start": 2.256,
        "end": 2.1462,
        "changePct": -4.87,
        "longPctEnd": 68.22,
        "avg": 2.1747,
        "startAt": "2026-08-26T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-08-27T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "topAccountLongShort": {
        "start": 1.089,
        "end": 1.1505,
        "changePct": 5.65,
        "longPctEnd": 53.5,
        "avg": 1.0961,
        "startAt": "2026-08-26T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-08-27T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      },
      "openInterest": {
        "start": 106591.994,
        "end": 105593.586,
        "startUsd": 8368057785,
        "endUsd": 8341209922,
        "change": -998.408,
        "changePct": -0.937,
        "high": 106969.657,
        "low": 105332.205,
        "startAt": "2026-08-26T00:00:00Z",
        "endAt": "2026-08-27T00:00:00Z",
        "partial": false
      }
    },
    "sentiment": {
      "fgi": {
        "value": 65,
        "classification": "Greed",
        "classificationZh": "贪婪",
        "prev": 74,
        "prevClassificationZh": "贪婪",
        "change": -9,
        "at": "2026-08-26T00:00:00Z"
      }
    },
    "score": {
      "configVersion": "2026-09-25.2",
      "trendScore": 0.65,
      "label": "lean_bull",
      "labelZh": "偏多",
      "confidence": 0.58,
      "components": {
        "weightedZ": 0.4043,
        "agreement": 0.38,
        "strength": 0.433,
        "coverage": 1
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "ret1d",
          "nameZh": "当日涨跌",
          "weight": 0.25,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.617,
          "z": 0.271,
          "contribution": 0.108
        },
        {
          "key": "mom3d",
          "nameZh": "3 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 1.659,
          "z": 0.419,
          "contribution": 0.067
        },
        {
          "key": "mom7d",
          "nameZh": "7 日动量",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 13.974,
          "z": 2.178,
          "contribution": 0.348
        },
        {
          "key": "emaTrend",
          "nameZh": "日线 EMA 趋势",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 4.6001,
          "z": 2.026,
          "contribution": 0.324
        },
        {
          "key": "oiChange",
          "nameZh": "持仓量变化",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -0.937,
          "z": -0.312,
          "contribution": -0.05
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingChange",
          "nameZh": "资金费率变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -0.00003044,
          "z": -0.609,
          "contribution": -0.049
        },
        {
          "key": "fundingLevel",
          "nameZh": "资金费率拥挤度",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 0.00005871,
          "z": 0.206,
          "contribution": 0.016
        },
        {
          "key": "taker",
          "nameZh": "主动买卖比",
          "weight": 0.1,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 1.0052,
          "z": 0.104,
          "contribution": 0.017
        },
        {
          "key": "retailLs",
          "nameZh": "散户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 8.5,
          "z": -1.701,
          "contribution": -0.136
        },
        {
          "key": "topLs",
          "nameZh": "大户多空比变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": 5.65,
          "z": 1.129,
          "contribution": 0.09
        },
        {
          "key": "fgiChange",
          "nameZh": "恐惧贪婪指数变化",
          "weight": 0.05,
          "available": true,
          "raw": -9,
          "z": -1.125,
          "contribution": -0.09
        }
      ]
    },
    "trendComparison": {
      "today": {
        "date": "2026-08-26",
        "trendScore": 0.65,
        "label": "lean_bull",
        "labelZh": "偏多",
        "confidence": 0.58
      },
      "yesterday": null,
      "delta": null
    },
    "dataSummary": "系统研判「偏多」，趋势分 +0.65（置信度 58%）。BTC 收于 $79,023.75，日涨跌 +0.62%，日内振幅 2.06%；3 日 +1.66%，7 日 +13.97%。日线 EMA10/EMA20 处于金叉状态（间距 +4.60%，2026-08-19 金叉，距今 7 天）。衍生品方面，永续持仓量 -0.94%，资金费率日均 +0.0059%（前 7 日 +0.0089%），主动买卖比 1.005，全市场账户多空比 1.001 → 1.086，大户账户多空比 1.089 → 1.151。恐惧贪婪指数 65（贪婪）。主要偏多因子：7 日动量、日线 EMA 趋势；主要偏空因子：散户多空比变化、恐惧贪婪指数变化。",
    "dataBlocks": [
      {
        "title": "关键数据",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "收盘 $79,023.75，UTC 2026-08-26 00:00 开盘 $78,539.13，日涨跌 +0.62%（前收 $78,539.14）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "日内高 $79,251.60 / 低 $77,632.58，振幅 2.06%；30 日区间 $62,275.00 – $81,272.62",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "动量：3 日 +1.66%，7 日 +13.97%，30 日 +23.95%；30 日日波动率 2.27%",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "日线 EMA10 $74,818.74 / EMA20 $71,183.53，间距 +4.60%（占收盘价），金叉状态（EMA10 在 EMA20 上方）；最近一次交叉：2026-08-19 金叉，距今 7 天",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "现货成交 14,614 BTC（约 11.48 亿 USDT），近 7 日成交量较前 7 日 +107.86%",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "永续持仓量 106,592 → 105,594 BTC（-0.94%，-998 BTC），名义价值约 83.41 亿美元",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "资金费率日均 +0.0059%（08:00 +0.0059% / 16:00 +0.0071% / 次日 00:00 +0.0046%），前 7 日均值 +0.0089%，年化约 +6.4%",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "主动买卖比 24h 汇总 1.005（买 67,347 / 卖 66,998 BTC），10/24 小时买方占优",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "全市场账户多空比 1.001 → 1.086（+8.50%）；大户账户多空比 1.089 → 1.151（+5.65%）；大户持仓多空比收于 2.146",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "恐惧贪婪指数 74 → 65（贪婪，-9）",
            "highlight": "red"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "24H 行情复盘",
        "items": [
          {
            "text": "早段（UTC 00:00–06:00）：$78,539.13 → $79,085.98，+0.70%，区间 $78,312.00 – $79,251.60，成交 3,210 BTC（占全日 22%）",
            "highlight": "green"
          },
          {
            "text": "早午后（UTC 06:00–12:00）：$79,085.98 → $78,487.26，-0.76%，区间 $78,244.83 – $79,206.00，成交 3,305 BTC（占全日 22.6%）",
            "highlight": "red"
          },
          {
            "text": "午后（UTC 12:00–18:00）：$78,487.26 → $78,442.83，-0.06%，区间 $77,632.58 – $78,713.79，成交 4,915 BTC（占全日 33.6%），全日放量时段",
            "highlight": "grey"
          },
          {
            "text": "收市（UTC 18:00–24:00）：$78,442.84 → $79,023.75，+0.74%，区间 $78,200.00 – $79,174.12，成交 3,183 BTC（占全日 21.8%）",
            "highlight": "green"
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "aiStatus": "pending",
    "outlook": null,
    "analysis": null,
    "sources": {
      "spotDaily": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)",
      "spotPhases": "https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)",
      "funding": "https://www.binance.com",
      "taker": "https://www.binance.com",
      "retailLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topPositionLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "topAccountLongShort": "https://www.binance.com",
      "openInterest": "https://www.binance.com",
      "fgi": "https://api.alternative.me/fng/"
    },
    "dataQuality": {
      "missing": [],
      "warnings": []
    }
  },
  "aiMetadata": {
    "model": "grok-4.7",
    "generatedAt": null
  }
}